Derry City 3-0 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.85
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.25
X/1
14%
3.86
X/2
5%
13.0
X/X
12%
5.52
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
9%
11.55
2/X
6%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.5pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.49/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.61
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
24.0 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
296 Passes 229
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.03.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
14.10.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
04.07.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
24.05.2024 Derry City Derry City 2-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
24.02.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
22.09.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
3-0
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.17 xG 0.79
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
322 Passes 395
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City swept aside Sligo Rovers 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Derry City had 47% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 53%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.17 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Derry City and 1.00 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?

Derry City 3-0 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Derry City 56%, draw 24%, Sligo Rovers 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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