SJK Akatemia 3-4 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 28% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -22%
1.05/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.92
-21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY TPS Turku
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
24.08.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.06.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
24.06.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
29.04.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
18.02.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Akatemia
3-4
AWAY TPS Turku
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 28
8 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku nicked a narrow win over SJK Akatemia 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SJK Akatemia had 44% of the ball to TPS Turku's 56%, shots finished 12-28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.50 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs TPS Turku?

SJK Akatemia 3-4 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 33%, draw 25%, TPS Turku 42%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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