Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 Sibenik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sibenik EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.38/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.26
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.4 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sibenik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.57 xG 0.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
349 Passes 223
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.11.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 0-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
23.08.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
21.04.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
12.02.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-4 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
07.10.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-2
AWAY Sibenik
0.76 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
280 Passes 258
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Sibenik
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sibenik edged past Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 away from home in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22 Apr 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 52% of the ball to Sibenik's 48%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.76 to 1.35.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 0.50 for Sibenik.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Sibenik?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Sibenik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 46%, draw 26%, Sibenik 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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