Slaven Belupo 0-1 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 35% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.18/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.92
+9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.0 Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 340
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
10.11.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
24.08.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
06.04.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
26.01.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-2 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
06.10.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 3-2 HT 2-2 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
0-1
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.63 xG 1.08
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
406 Passes 170
82% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin
Match summary & frequently asked questions

NK Varazdin edged past Slaven Belupo 1-0 away from home in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22 Apr 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 64% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 36%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.63 to 1.08.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.17 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

Slaven Belupo 0-1 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 42%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Slaven Belupo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slaven Belupo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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