Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rio Ave v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Rio Ave
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Sporting CP
POR
Rio Ave 1-2 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP squeezed past Rio Ave 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Rio Ave had 44% of the ball to Sporting CP's 56%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.13 to 1.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rio Ave and 2.33 for Sporting CP.
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Rio Ave 1-2 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Cup on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 26%, draw 21%, Sporting CP 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.