Elfsborg 2-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 22 Apr 2026

Elfsborg
2-1 HT 1-1
Djurgarden
📅22/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2026

Elfsborg vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.78
Over
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
2.93
2-3
43%
1.74
4-5
18%
3.69
6+
10%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.93 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.27
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
15%
6.0
X/2
10%
5.17
X/X
12%
4.42
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.4
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.55/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.13
+64% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 83%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
22.7 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Elfsborg vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 428
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.07.2025 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
19.05.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 4-0 HT 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
28.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
12.05.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
22.07.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-4 HT 0-3 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
04.06.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Elfsborg 2-1 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
2-1
AWAY Djurgarden
1.73 xG 2.39
24% Ball Possession 76%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
135 Passes 619
65% Pass Accuracy 91%
13 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg edged past Djurgarden 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Elfsborg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 24% of the ball to Djurgarden's 76%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.73 to 2.39 — on chances, Djurgarden could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Elfsborg and 1.00 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Djurgarden?

Elfsborg 2-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 37%, draw 29%, Djurgarden 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
22 Apr 2026
20:00 Vasteras SK FK vs Hacken Analysis →
20:00 Örgryte vs Brommapojkarna Analysis →
20:00 Hammarby vs Halmstad Analysis →