Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolivar v Independiente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals
Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Bolivar
BOLPLK
2-3
HT 1-2
Independiente Petrolero
BOLPLK
Bolivar 1-2 Independiente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Petrolero edged past Bolivar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Bolivar carried 84% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Bolivar had 80% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 20%, shots finished 31-6, expected goals 2.50 to 0.56 — on chances, Bolivar could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bolivar and 0.67 for Independiente Petrolero.
What was the final score of Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero?
Bolivar 1-2 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 84%, draw 9%, Independiente Petrolero 7%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bolivar) went the other way.