Hammarby 1-2 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.75/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.37
+23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.7 Crosses 17.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mjallby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
418 Passes 309
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Mjallby Mjallby 3-1 HT 3-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
28.07.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
15.05.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
04.03.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇK
27.08.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-3 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
09.05.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
1-2
AWAY Mjallby
1.89 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
421 Passes 339
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
43 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby squeezed past Hammarby 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hammarby had 55% of the ball to Mjallby's 45%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.70 — on chances, Hammarby could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hammarby and 1.17 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Mjallby?

Hammarby 1-2 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 45%, draw 29%, Mjallby 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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