USM Alger vs Paradou Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
USM Alger v Paradou — Team-Based Signals
USM Alger vs Paradou Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
USM Alger
CZYR
2-1
HT 2-0
Paradou
CZYR
USM Alger 4-2 Paradou — Actual Match Statistics
USM Alger saw off Paradou 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, USM Alger had 56% of the ball to Paradou's 44%, shots finished 14-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paradou led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Alger and 1.83 for Paradou.
What was the final score of USM Alger vs Paradou?
USM Alger 4-2 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Paradou?
Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 59%, draw 25%, Paradou 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.