USM Alger 4-2 Paradou — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Algeria - Ligue 1, 22 May 2026

USM Alger WWDLW→
4 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Paradou LDWWL→
📅22/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Algeria - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

USM Alger vs Paradou Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 11:32
Match Result
HomeVIEW
65%
1.54
Draw
22%
3.95
Away
13%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.98
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

USM Alger v Paradou — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME USM Alger The Market 65%
Signal
AWAY Paradou The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.00 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
0.66 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.10
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

USM Alger vs Paradou Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Paradou
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.09.2025 Paradou Paradou 0-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
17.05.2025 Paradou Paradou 3-1 HT 2-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
28.01.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-1 Paradou Paradou CZYR
11.02.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 1-5 HT 0-2 Paradou Paradou CZYR
27.09.2023 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
25.10.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 2-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR

USM Alger 4-2 Paradou — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
4 - 2
AWAY Paradou
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW USM Alger vs Paradou
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

USM Alger saw off Paradou 4-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 54% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: possession split 56% to 44% in USM Alger's favour, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paradou led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for USM Alger against 1.83 for Paradou.

USM Alger vs Paradou Result & Final Score

USM Alger 4 - 2 Paradou in the Algeria - Ligue 1 on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

USM Alger vs Paradou Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 65%, draw 22%, Paradou 13%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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