JaPS 0-1 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 22 May 2026

JaPS
0-1 HT 0-0
Mikkeli
📅22/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.9pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.62/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.72
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mikkeli
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2026 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-1 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FINYK
30.08.2024 JaPS JaPS 4-0 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
17.07.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
19.05.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-3 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
09.03.2024 JaPS JaPS 4-1 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FINYK
14.07.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-2 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
0-1
AWAY Mikkeli
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH JaPS vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mikkeli edged past JaPS 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was JaPS at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, JaPS had 54% of the ball to Mikkeli's 46%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JaPS had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for JaPS and 0.50 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of JaPS vs Mikkeli?

JaPS 0-1 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a JaPS win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JaPS 43%, draw 23%, Mikkeli 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (JaPS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JaPS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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