Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.6pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -19%
1.31/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.05
+4% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.4 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 0.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
175 Passes 235
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.08.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-3 HT 0-3 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
10.03.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.02.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.10.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-4 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.04.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.13 xG 0.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
263 Passes 174
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero and Nacional Potosi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 58% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 42%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.13 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 2.00 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 34%, draw 27%, Nacional Potosi 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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