Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Mineiro v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Mineiro and Bahia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Mineiro at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 1.23 to 1.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.67 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia?
Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 52%, draw 23%, Bahia 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), Over 2.5 went the other way.