Nice vs Lorient Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — France - Ligue 1, 22 Aug 2026

Nice
vs
Lorient
📅22/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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France - Ligue 1 – 2026/2027

Nice vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Nice v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Nice vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Lorient
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
461 Passes 399
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.03.2026 Lorient Lorient 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FRK
22.02.2026 Nice Nice 3-3 HT 2-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
30.11.2025 Lorient Lorient 3-1 HT 2-1 Nice Nice FR1
19.04.2024 Nice Nice 3-0 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
20.08.2023 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
19.03.2023 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
PREVIEW Nice vs Lorient
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Nice, but not by enough to write Lorient off.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nice and 1.33 for Lorient.

Nice vs Lorient Kick-off Time

Nice play Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/08/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Nice vs Lorient Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Nice vs Lorient is a Nice win at about 48% probability, priced 2.05 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Nice 48%, draw 25%, Lorient 27%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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