Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - Premier League, 22 Aug 2026

📅22/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rio Ave
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.73 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 Passes 385
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Estoril Estoril 1-2 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
01.11.2025 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-4 HT 0-2 Estoril Estoril POR
22.02.2025 Estoril Estoril 2-1 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
21.09.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-2 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
31.01.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-1 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
20.08.2023 Estoril Estoril 2-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
PREVIEW Estoril vs Rio Ave
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Estoril edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence. The price (1.90, near 53%) says the market is more convinced still.

Estoril have lost 4 of their last 5 home league games, while over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Rio Ave's last 5 away league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Estoril against 1.00 for Rio Ave.

Estoril vs Rio Ave Kick-off Time

Estoril play Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 22/08/2026, kick-off 20:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Estoril vs Rio Ave Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Estoril vs Rio Ave is a Estoril win at about 46% probability, priced 1.9 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Estoril 46%, draw 28%, Rio Ave 26%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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