Sant Andreu 0-2 Lleida Esportiu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.12/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.02
+67% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sant Andreu
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 0-1 HT 0-0 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu İS4
19.11.2023 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 1-1 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
27.09.2023 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 1-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İSPFK
16.03.2014 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 3-1 HT 2-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sant Andreu
0-2
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
62% Ball Possession 38%
4 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sant Andreu vs Lleida Esportiu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lleida Esportiu beat Sant Andreu 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sant Andreu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sant Andreu had 62% of the ball to Lleida Esportiu's 38%, shots finished 4-2.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sant Andreu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sant Andreu and 0.50 for Lleida Esportiu.

What was the final score of Sant Andreu vs Lleida Esportiu?

Sant Andreu 0-2 Lleida Esportiu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sant Andreu vs Lleida Esportiu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sant Andreu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sant Andreu 41%, draw 28%, Lleida Esportiu 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sant Andreu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sant Andreu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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