Lleida Esportiu 0-1 Sant Andreu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.44/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.73
+4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +79%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lleida Esportiu
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sant Andreu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 1-1 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
27.09.2023 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 1-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İSPFK
16.03.2014 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 3-1 HT 2-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lleida Esportiu
0-1
AWAY Sant Andreu
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lleida Esportiu vs Sant Andreu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sant Andreu squeezed past Lleida Esportiu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lleida Esportiu at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lleida Esportiu had 68% of the ball to Sant Andreu's 32%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sant Andreu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lleida Esportiu and 1.67 for Sant Andreu.

What was the final score of Lleida Esportiu vs Sant Andreu?

Lleida Esportiu 0-1 Sant Andreu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lleida Esportiu vs Sant Andreu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lleida Esportiu 49%, draw 28%, Sant Andreu 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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