Angers 1-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 22 Sep 2024

Angers
1-1
Nantes
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Angers vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 36% vs market 33.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.56
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
10%
5.87
X/2
15%
4.83
X/X
16%
3.92
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.46
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Angers v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.43/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.92
+13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.4 Crosses 20.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Angers vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nantes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
358 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers HAZ
03.06.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
08.02.2023 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FRK
07.08.2022 Angers Angers 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
17.04.2022 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
19.09.2021 Angers Angers 1-4 HT 1-3 Nantes Nantes FR1

Angers 1-1 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
1-1
AWAY Nantes
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
402 Passes 390
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Angers vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers and Nantes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nantes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Angers had 50% of the ball to Nantes's 50%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Angers and 1.33 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Angers vs Nantes?

Angers 1-1 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Angers 27%, draw 32%, Nantes 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nantes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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