Montpellier vs Auxerre Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier v Auxerre — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier vs Auxerre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Montpellier
FR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Auxerre
FR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Montpellier
FR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Auxerre
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Montpellier
FR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Auxerre
FR1
Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre — Actual Match Statistics
Montpellier nicked a narrow win over Auxerre 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Montpellier as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Montpellier had 54% of the ball to Auxerre's 46%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.04 to 1.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montpellier and 1.00 for Auxerre.
What was the final score of Montpellier vs Auxerre?
Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Auxerre?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 43%, draw 26%, Auxerre 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.