Notts County vs Grimsby Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Notts County v Grimsby Town — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Grimsby Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Notts County 2-1 Grimsby Town — Actual Match Statistics
Notts County nicked a narrow win over Grimsby Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Notts County made the difference. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) landed.
On the day, possession split 60% to 40% in Notts County's favour, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.55 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Notts County against 1.50 for Grimsby Town.
Notts County vs Grimsby Town Result & Final Score
Notts County 2 - 1 Grimsby Town in the England - EFL Trophy on 22/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Notts County vs Grimsby Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Notts County 36%, draw 26%, Grimsby Town 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grimsby Town) went the other way.