Notts County vs Grimsby Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Notts County v Grimsby Town — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Grimsby Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Notts County 0-1 Grimsby Town — Actual Match Statistics
Grimsby Town found just enough to beat Notts County 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
A gentle 47% lean on Notts County didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
On the day, possession split 58% to 42% in Notts County's favour, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.79 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.83 a game for Notts County against 1.67 for Grimsby Town.
Notts County vs Grimsby Town Result & Final Score
Notts County 0 - 1 Grimsby Town in the England - League Two on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Notts County vs Grimsby Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Notts County 47%, draw 26%, Grimsby Town 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Notts County), BTTS Yes went the other way.