Grimsby Town 5-5 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.07
1/2
9%
22.6
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
11%
6.53
X/2
16%
5.19
X/X
14%
5.5
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
11%
2.97
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -27%
1.35/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.69
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.4 Crosses 23.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Notts County
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
223 Passes 502
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.08.2023 Notts County Notts County 3-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
23.05.2022 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL
05.02.2022 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL
30.10.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İBSL
27.04.2019 Notts County Notts County 2-1 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
22.12.2018 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
5-5
AWAY Notts County
3.31 xG 4.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
23 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 2
222 Passes 342
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town and Notts County shared the points in a 5-5 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 43% of the ball to Notts County's 57%, shots finished 23-19, expected goals 3.31 to 4.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.33 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

Grimsby Town 5-5 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 37%, draw 27%, Notts County 36%. The final score 5-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grimsby Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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