Grimsby Town 0-2 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Mar 2025

Grimsby Town
0-2 HT 0-0
Notts County
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Grimsby Town vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.26
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
12%
5.05
X/2
11%
6.34
X/X
11%
4.32
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.64
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grimsby Town v Notts County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.41/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.55
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 66%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.0 Crosses 17.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Grimsby Town vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Notts County
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.64 xG 2.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
239 Passes 423
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.08.2024 Notts County Notts County 4-1 HT 3-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
13.01.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 5-5 HT 2-2 Notts County Notts County İN2
12.08.2023 Notts County Notts County 3-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
23.05.2022 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL
05.02.2022 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL
30.10.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İBSL

Grimsby Town 0-2 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
0-2
AWAY Notts County
0.91 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
174 Passes 279
59% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County saw off Grimsby Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Notts County found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 44% of the ball to Notts County's 56%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.91 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Grimsby Town and 2.50 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

Grimsby Town 0-2 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 39%, draw 26%, Notts County 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Grimsby Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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