Salford City 0-4 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Mar 2025

Salford City
0-4 HT 0-2
Chesterfield
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Salford City vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 31% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
16%
5.32
X/2
8%
5.86
X/X
12%
4.16
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
20%
4.22
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salford City v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.31/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.95
+4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 64%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.5 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Salford City vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.97 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
222 Passes 262
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
05.12.2021 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield FAK
08.12.2018 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İBSL
18.08.2018 Salford City Salford City 3-2 HT 1-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL

Salford City 0-4 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
0-4
AWAY Chesterfield
0.83 xG 3.92
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
153 Passes 359
57% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 50
9 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield swept aside Salford City 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Salford City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Salford City had 36% of the ball to Chesterfield's 64%, shots finished 7-26, expected goals 0.83 to 3.92.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salford City and 1.75 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Chesterfield?

Salford City 0-4 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salford City 41%, draw 25%, Chesterfield 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Salford City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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