Colchester vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colchester v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Colchester vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN2
3-0
HT 2-0
Colchester
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Colchester
İN2
3-0
HT 1-0
Colchester
İN2
Colchester 2-1 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Colchester squeezed past Port Vale 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colchester as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Colchester had 41% of the ball to Port Vale's 59%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.60 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Colchester and 1.50 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Colchester vs Port Vale?
Colchester 2-1 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colchester vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Colchester 45%, draw 29%, Port Vale 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colchester) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.