Accrington Stanley 5-0 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Mar 2025

Accrington Stanley
5-0 HT 3-0
Newport County
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Accrington Stanley vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
17%
4.21
X/2
9%
8.85
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
15%
7.5
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Accrington Stanley v Newport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.86/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.38
+18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
268 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 165 · 56%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.2 Crosses 14.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Accrington Stanley vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Newport County
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.08 xG 0.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
278 Passes 240
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Newport County Newport County 3-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
09.04.2024 Newport County Newport County 1-3 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
05.08.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-0 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
24.04.2018 Newport County Newport County 2-1 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
18.11.2017 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-1 HT 0-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
22.04.2017 Newport County Newport County 1-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2

Accrington Stanley 5-0 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
5-0
AWAY Newport County
3.39 xG 0.92
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
211 Passes 314
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley cruised past Newport County 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Accrington Stanley as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 41% of the ball to Newport County's 59%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 3.39 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.33 for Newport County.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Newport County?

Accrington Stanley 5-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 44%, draw 27%, Newport County 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Accrington Stanley), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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