Newport County vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport County v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals
Newport County vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Newport County
İN2
2-1
HT 1-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Newport County
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
1-3
HT 0-0
Newport County
İN2
Newport County 3-1 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics
Newport County saw off Accrington Stanley 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Newport County made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Newport County had 42% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 58%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 1.13 to 1.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured Accrington Stanley.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Newport County and 1.50 for Accrington Stanley.
What was the final score of Newport County vs Accrington Stanley?
Newport County 3-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport County vs Accrington Stanley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newport County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newport County 39%, draw 27%, Accrington Stanley 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.