Bath City 1-1 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.74
Over
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.87
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
22%
4.06
6+
8%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.87 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth The Market 27%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.82/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.36
+11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Bath City Bath City 1-1 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
07.11.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-5 HT 1-3 Bath City Bath City İCON
30.09.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City FAK
10.04.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
13.09.2022 Bath City Bath City 2-1 HT 2-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
07.03.2020 Bath City Bath City 0-0 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City and Weymouth shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bath City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bath City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bath City and 0.83 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Weymouth?

Bath City 1-1 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bath City 42%, draw 31%, Weymouth 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bath City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bath City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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