Bath City 1-1 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.9
Over
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
35%
3.34
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
18%
3.55
6+
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.34 — our 35% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth The Market 24%
+12% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +11%
2.07/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.67
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-5 HT 1-3 Bath City Bath City İCON
30.09.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City FAK
10.04.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
13.09.2022 Bath City Bath City 2-1 HT 2-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
07.03.2020 Bath City Bath City 0-0 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
1-1
AWAY Weymouth
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City and Weymouth couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bath City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Bath City had 53% of the ball to Weymouth's 47%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bath City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Bath City and 0.80 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Weymouth?

Bath City 1-1 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bath City 46%, draw 26%, Weymouth 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bath City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bath City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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