Chorley 3-0 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.22/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.66
+36% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Darlington 1883
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-3 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
14.11.2023 Chorley Chorley 8-0 HT 3-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
07.01.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-3 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
13.08.2022 Chorley Chorley 1-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
26.02.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
16.10.2021 Chorley Chorley 2-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
3-0
AWAY Darlington 1883
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley cruised past Darlington 1883 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chorley had 48% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 52%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Chorley and 0.83 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Darlington 1883?

Chorley 3-0 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chorley 45%, draw 26%, Darlington 1883 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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