Darlington 1883 0-3 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 34% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.18/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.26
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Chorley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.11.2023 Chorley Chorley 8-0 HT 3-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
07.01.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-3 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
13.08.2022 Chorley Chorley 1-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
26.02.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
16.10.2021 Chorley Chorley 2-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
0-3
AWAY Chorley
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley swept aside Darlington 1883 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Chorley made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 54% of the ball to Chorley's 46%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chorley led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Darlington 1883 and 2.80 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Chorley?

Darlington 1883 0-3 Chorley in the England - Conference on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 32%, draw 29%, Chorley 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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