Hampton & Richmond 3-1 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 34% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.20/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.34
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
05.08.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 1-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
21.02.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 3-2 HT 1-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
25.10.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-1 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
01.02.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
14.08.2021 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-5 HT 0-3 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
3-1
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond beat Eastbourne Borough 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hampton & Richmond found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 52% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 48%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hampton & Richmond had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 0.83 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Eastbourne Borough?

Hampton & Richmond 3-1 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 32%, draw 33%, Eastbourne Borough 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5
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