Scarborough Athletic 0-2 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.68
Over
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.76
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
20%
4.24
6+
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton The Market 37%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +26%
1.44/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.08
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
242 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.03.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
24.10.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
07.04.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
01.10.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton FAK
27.09.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
0-2
AWAY Curzon Ashton
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton beat Scarborough Athletic 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Curzon Ashton found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 52% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 48%, shots finished 19-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.40 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Curzon Ashton?

Scarborough Athletic 0-2 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 34%, draw 32%, Curzon Ashton 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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