AFC Totton 5-1 Taunton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 Pick
59%
2.21
Over 2.5
41%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.79/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.50
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Taunton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton ran out comfortable winners over Taunton Town 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Taunton Town?

AFC Totton 5-1 Taunton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Taunton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 48%, draw 26%, Taunton Town 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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