Basingstoke Town 1-1 Hungerford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.33
Over
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
42%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungerford Town The Market 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.85/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.34
+7% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hungerford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Hungerford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town and Hungerford Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Basingstoke Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Hungerford Town?

Basingstoke Town 1-1 Hungerford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Hungerford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 44%, draw 23%, Hungerford Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basingstoke Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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