Bracknell Town 4-2 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.51
Over
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
35%
4-5
30%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bracknell Town The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine The Market 23%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.33/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.05
+13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bracknell Town
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-1 HT 0-1 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town 5-0 HT 2-0 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
08.04.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 1-2 HT 0-1 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town İNGNLP
02.12.2022 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bracknell Town vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bracknell Town beat Swindon Supermarine 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bracknell Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bracknell Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Bracknell Town and 1.50 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Bracknell Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Bracknell Town 4-2 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bracknell Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bracknell Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bracknell Town 49%, draw 28%, Swindon Supermarine 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bracknell Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bracknell Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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