22/10/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
Chertsey Town vs Sholing Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
34%
Draw
24%
30%
Away Win
32%
51%
Under 2.5
39%
49%
Over 2.5
61%
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
51%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chertsey Town v Sholing — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chertsey Town
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sholing
EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+26%
2.01/2.01
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.46/1.18
+23%
/
-35%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+8%
/
+33%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
288 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
395 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Chertsey Town vs Sholing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chertsey Town swept aside Sholing 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and on the day Chertsey Town made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Sholing?
Chertsey Town 4-0 Sholing in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Sholing?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 36%, draw 34%, Sholing 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chertsey Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chertsey Town)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
22 Oct 2024