Dorchester Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over Pick
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorchester Town The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway The Market 28%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.19/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.14
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorchester Town
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 5-0 HT 2-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
14.02.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 3-0 HT 2-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town FAK
16.08.2022 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Dorchester Town vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town edged past Plymouth Parkway 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dorchester Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Plymouth Parkway led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Dorchester Town and 2.20 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Dorchester Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 51%, draw 23%, Plymouth Parkway 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorchester Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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