Winchester City 2-4 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.95
Over
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
30%
+9.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City The Market 49%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.48/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.49
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
219 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City saw off Winchester City 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Gloucester City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Gloucester City?

Winchester City 2-4 Gloucester City in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 39%, draw 25%, Gloucester City 36%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Winchester City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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