FC Santa Coloma 1-0 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.27
Draw
10%
5.15
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.18
Over 2.5
65%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.27
No
44%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
75%
+2.2pp
10%
Draw
17%
-6.1pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+3.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
42%
-7.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
58%
+7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
40%
+16.4pp
44%
BTTS No
60%
-16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.60/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.62
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Santa Coloma
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2025 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
02.02.2025 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
06.10.2024 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 2-1 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
21.04.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-4 HT 1-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
21.01.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
14.01.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma ANDK
POST-MATCH FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Santa Coloma nicked a narrow win over Penya Encarnada 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Santa Coloma had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Santa Coloma and 0.83 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

FC Santa Coloma 1-0 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split FC Santa Coloma 77%, draw 10%, Penya Encarnada 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AND More Andorra - 1st Division
22 Oct 2025
12:00 Ordino vs UE Santa Coloma Analysis →