Raufoss 1-3 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.58/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.51
+9% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sogndal
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Sogndal Sogndal 2-2 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
02.09.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 4-1 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
22.05.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
16.03.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-5 Raufoss Raufoss HAZ
23.08.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 3-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
06.05.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal beat Raufoss 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sogndal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raufoss had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Raufoss and 1.17 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Sogndal?

Raufoss 1-3 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 35%, draw 22%, Sogndal 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sogndal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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