Rostov 4-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 22 Oct 2025

Rostov
4-1 HT 2-1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅22/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2025/2026

Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.4pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.9pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 25%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.83/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.22
+52% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.42 xG 0.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 185
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.08.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
10.08.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
30.11.2024 Rostov Rostov 4-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
19.10.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.02.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod HAZ
26.11.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov swept aside Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rostov and 0.50 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Rostov 4-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Cup on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rostov 57%, draw 19%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ BTTS No
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