Rubin Kazan 3-3 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.21/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.60
-82% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +73%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
201 Passes 375
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
20.07.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
01.03.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
05.10.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
31.03.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
08.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
3-3
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan and FC Akhmat Grozny couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 53% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 47%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rubin Kazan and 0.83 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Rubin Kazan 3-3 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Cup on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 37%, draw 29%, FC Akhmat Grozny 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✗ Under 2.5
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