Dinamo Moscow 4-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 21%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.87/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.02
+58% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.04 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
316 Passes 347
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-3 HT 0-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
27.08.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
05.05.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
24.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-6 HT 2-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
28.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 5-1 HT 3-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
17.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
4-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow swept aside Krylya Sovetov 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 65% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 35%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.17 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Dinamo Moscow 4-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Cup on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 58%, draw 23%, Krylya Sovetov 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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