Zenit St. Petersburg 6-0 FK Orenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.29
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
73%
-0.1pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.5pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.46/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.08
+19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
507 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Orenburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.53 xG 0.63
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
481 Passes 260
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-2 HT 2-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
23.11.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
05.10.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
21.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
30.09.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 3-1 HT 3-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
20.05.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
6-0
AWAY FK Orenburg
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs FK Orenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg cruised past FK Orenburg 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 73% of the ball to FK Orenburg's 27%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.17 for FK Orenburg.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs FK Orenburg?

Zenit St. Petersburg 6-0 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Cup on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs FK Orenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 73%, draw 15%, FK Orenburg 12%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5
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