Beijing Guoan 5-1 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.34
Draw
14%
5.15
Away
11%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
1.0
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
10.55
2-3 Goals
31%
2.65
4-5 Goals
24%
2.25
6+ Goals
22%
3.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.56
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
3%
17.3
X/1
21%
4.54
X/2
6%
16.0
X/X
8%
10.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
15.4
2/2
2%
10.5
2/X
3%
19.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 15.4 — our 9% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
70%
+4.9pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.1pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.5pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.26/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.95
+18% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.4 Crosses 18.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 0.82
61% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
401 Passes 234
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2025 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-4 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
20.09.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-3 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
11.05.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-2 HT 0-2 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
12.07.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 3-1 HT 3-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
15.04.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
07.07.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
5-1
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
4.77 xG 1.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
30 Total Shots 11
16 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
393 Passes 179
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
54 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan ran out comfortable winners over Meizhou Hakka 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 62% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 38%, shots finished 30-11, expected goals 4.77 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.17 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka?

Beijing Guoan 5-1 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 75%, draw 14%, Meizhou Hakka 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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