Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1.87
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
8%
4.21
X/2
7%
12.0
X/X
9%
6.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.3
2/2
6%
9.16
2/X
3%
17.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
61%
+4.0pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.9pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.55/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.08
-27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.1 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.53 xG 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 Passes 285
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-2 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
25.06.2025 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
05.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
19.10.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 4-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
30.06.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 5-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
22.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-0
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.94 xG 0.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
23 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
294 Passes 447
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon nicked a narrow win over Changchun YaTai 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Qingdao Jonoon as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 41% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 59%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.94 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Qingdao Jonoon's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.33 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 65%, draw 17%, Changchun YaTai 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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