Changchun YaTai 2-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.11
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
12%
5.78
X/2
12%
5.32
X/X
22%
4.35
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.62
2/X
4%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.92/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.93
-29% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.2 Crosses 15.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.37 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2025 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
05.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
19.10.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 4-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
30.06.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 5-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
22.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
08.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
2-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.97 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
307 Passes 335
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai and Qingdao Jonoon shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 30% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 50% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 50%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.97 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Changchun YaTai and 0.83 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Changchun YaTai 2-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 29%, draw 30%, Qingdao Jonoon 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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