Guiseley 4-2 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.49/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.73
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ashton United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Guiseley Guiseley 1-0 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
19.11.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 2-4 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
31.08.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 3-0 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United FAK
10.02.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 1-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
01.04.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-0 HT 1-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guiseley
4-2
AWAY Ashton United
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley got the better of Ashton United 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Guiseley found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guiseley had 64% of the ball to Ashton United's 36%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guiseley had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guiseley and 1.00 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Ashton United?

Guiseley 4-2 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 37%, draw 28%, Ashton United 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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