Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cagliari v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Cagliari vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cagliari 3-3 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Cagliari and Genoa couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 37% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Cagliari had 50% of the ball to Genoa's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.84 to 1.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cagliari and 1.17 for Genoa.
Cagliari vs Genoa Result & Final Score
Cagliari 3 - 3 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 27%, draw 37%, Genoa 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.