Napoli 3-1 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Nov 2025

Napoli
3 - 1 HT 3 - 0
Atalanta
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.67
Over
43%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.69
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.21
6+
4%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.3
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.17
X/2
11%
6.8
X/X
22%
3.97
2/1
3%
30.0
2/2
14%
5.08
2/X
5%
13.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Napoli v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Napoli The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 32%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.53 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
1.04 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
Great Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Napoli vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atalanta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
454 Passes 371
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 2-3 HT 1-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
03.11.2024 Napoli Napoli 0-3 HT 0-2 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
30.03.2024 Napoli Napoli 0-3 HT 0-2 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
25.11.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 1-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
11.03.2023 Napoli Napoli 2-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
05.11.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 1-2 HT 1-2 Napoli Napoli İTA

Napoli 3-1 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
3 - 1
AWAY Atalanta
1.63 xG 0.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
355 Passes 452
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Napoli vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli put daylight between themselves and Atalanta 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 26%) promised a tight game; Napoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Atalanta saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.63 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Napoli against 1.67 for Atalanta.

Napoli vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Napoli 3 - 1 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Napoli 40%, draw 33%, Atalanta 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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